Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.000085 0.000095 0.000104 0.000116 0.000128 0.000141 0.000157
2026-02-01 0.000072 0.000084 0.000098 0.000115 0.000135 0.000158 0.000186
2026-02-08 0.000061 0.000075 0.000092 0.000113 0.000139 0.000171 0.000213
2026-02-15 0.000053 0.000068 0.000087 0.000112 0.000145 0.000186 0.000242
2026-02-22 0.000047 0.000063 0.000084 0.000112 0.000150 0.000201 0.000273
2026-03-01 0.000042 0.000058 0.000080 0.000111 0.000154 0.000213 0.000301
2026-03-08 0.000039 0.000055 0.000078 0.000112 0.000161 0.000230 0.000336
2026-03-15 0.000035 0.000052 0.000076 0.000112 0.000166 0.000245 0.000370
2026-03-22 0.000032 0.000049 0.000073 0.000111 0.000169 0.000257 0.000401
2026-03-29 0.000031 0.000047 0.000072 0.000113 0.000177 0.000276 0.000443
2026-04-05 0.000028 0.000045 0.000070 0.000113 0.000181 0.000291 0.000480
2026-04-12 0.000026 0.000043 0.000068 0.000112 0.000185 0.000303 0.000514
2026-04-19 0.000025 0.000041 0.000066 0.000111 0.000188 0.000317 0.000553
2026-04-26 0.000023 0.000039 0.000065 0.000111 0.000193 0.000333 0.000596
2026-05-03 0.000021 0.000037 0.000062 0.000110 0.000195 0.000344 0.000631
2026-05-10 0.000020 0.000035 0.000061 0.000109 0.000198 0.000358 0.000673
2026-05-17 0.000019 0.000033 0.000060 0.000109 0.000202 0.000374 0.000722
2026-05-24 0.000017 0.000032 0.000058 0.000108 0.000204 0.000386 0.000763
2026-05-31 0.000017 0.000031 0.000057 0.000109 0.000210 0.000406 0.000821
2026-06-07 0.000016 0.000030 0.000056 0.000109 0.000215 0.000423 0.000875
2026-06-14 0.000015 0.000029 0.000055 0.000108 0.000217 0.000437 0.000923
2026-06-21 0.000014 0.000028 0.000054 0.000110 0.000225 0.000462 0.000997
2026-06-28 0.000014 0.000027 0.000053 0.000110 0.000229 0.000479 0.001057